2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,254 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Townhouse
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$458
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-148/mo
Annual
$-1,772/yr
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.42%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$51,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $185k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-148 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (11.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $164k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#49 in OH, #696 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
Loveland City (suburban): math 76% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #50 of 656 in OH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.1% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?