155 Shoups Branch Rd

Saxton, PA 16678

$79,900B

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Built 2026 · Manufactured · Active · 14 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $986/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax + insurance: −$133
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$207
• Net cashflow: $227/mo
• Annual: $2,719/yr
• Cap rate: 9.70%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.15%
• DSCR: 1.54
• 1% rule: 1.23%
• Cash to close: $22,372

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $80k).
• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#867 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Tussey Mountain SD (rural): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #412 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Tussey Mountain El (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 374 students, 100% FRL); Tussey Mountain Ms (math 15% / reading 50%, grade F, #355 of 512 statewide, top 70%, 270 students, 100% FRL); Tussey Mountain Hs (math 64%, 291 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 51% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.