6 bd · 0.0 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 295 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,609/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$726
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$548
Net cashflow
$392/mo
Annual
$4,704/yr
Cap rate
11.76%
Cash-on-cash
19.51%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$50,344
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $196/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,075 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
West Orange-Cove CISD (suburban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #784 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,609/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1018% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof shingles
— visible wear
Moderate: exterior siding
— some discoloration
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-JZ1JR2A4DA9MP6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29