Duplex
2112 & 2114 Houston · West Orange, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$179,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investors two unit duplex, 2 bedrooms in per unit, 1 bath per unit, living area, kitchen, inside laundry room. Units mirror each other in floor plan. Each have a drive way. backyard. "Selling as Is'
Key facts
- Listed 295 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $196/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,075 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- West Orange-Cove CISD (suburban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #784 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,609/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 1018% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.51%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,800
- List price
- $179,800
- Delta
- —
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.01% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $36,025
- Equity at exit
- $61,474
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $130,312
- Equity at exit
- $81,765
Cash invested: $50,344 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77630
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,609 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,697/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$548
- Net cashflow
- $392
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,608 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,304 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,304 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,609 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,950
- Closing costs
- $5,394
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,800 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,800 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,800 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,800 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,800 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,800 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,800 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,800 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,800 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,800 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,800 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,800 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,800 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,800 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,800 Active 276 DOM
-
2025-08-27$179,800 Active 203-char remark
Show marketing remark (203 chars)
Investors two unit duplex, 2 bedrooms in per unit, 1 bath per unit, living area, kitchen, inside laundry room. Units mirror each other in floor plan. Each have a drive way. backyard. "Selling as Is'
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,072
- − Property taxes
- −$2,697
- − Insurance
- −$6,018
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,505
- − Management
- −$2,505
- − Depreciation
- −$5,231
- Taxable income
- $2,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$548
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This two-unit duplex requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Focus on roof shingles, exterior siding, and interior painting to enhance curb appeal and curb value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof shingles — visible wear
- Moderate exterior siding — some discoloration
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace ceiling fans — improves air circulation and reduces energy costs
- Both repair roof shingles — prevents water damage and enhances curb appeal
- Both repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and protects home from weather
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof shingles · visible wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $18,500–68,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace ceiling fans — improves air circulation and reduces energy costs ↑
- Both repair roof shingles — prevents water damage and enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and protects home from weather ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Orange-Cove CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845090
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,329
- Composite
- 15.86/100
- National rank
- #9260
- State rank
- #784 of 826 in TX
Livability — West Orange
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1075
- US rank
- #19069
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Orange, TX
- County
- Orange County · 87,112 people
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,983
- Household income
- $64,373
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1018.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,065 people
- By 2030
- 89,591 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 91,982 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 93,023 · +5.6%
- By 2075
- 94,871 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 88,155 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.01%
- Current HPI
- 264.14
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.71%
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-27 Listed $179,800 BBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…