3 bd · None ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1901
· Other
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,217/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$651/mo
Annual
$7,808/yr
Cap rate
23.64%
Cash-on-cash
61.97%
DSCR
3.76
1% rule
2.71%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/?-bath other listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#214 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
Tripp-Delmont School District 33-5 (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #124 of 148 in SD (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $45k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29