2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
810 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,320/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$139
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$469/yr
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.02%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($469/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (19.9% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Millis Road Elementary (math 65% / reading 57%, grade B, #196 of 1,410 statewide, top 14%, 486 students, 56% FRL); Jamestown Middle (math 26% / reading 42%, grade F, #294 of 475 statewide, top 63%, 940 students, 69% FRL); Lucy Ragsdale High (math 45% / reading 58%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,346 students, 61% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $92k; list at $165k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K1ZCJ573Y0YBW4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29