11 bd · 3.0 ba ·
4,278 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,371/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$1,143
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,128
Net cashflow
$1,008/mo
Annual
$12,092/yr
Cap rate
10.71%
Cash-on-cash
15.77%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $336/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($375k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $375k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ps 14 (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 425 students, 76% FRL); Troy Middle School (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #504 of 729 statewide, top 70%, 786 students, 72% FRL); Troy High School (math 95% / reading 77%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,153 students, 64% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $109k; list at $399k implies a 266% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29