3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,442 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,181/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$-31/mo
Annual
$-373/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-373/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (26.2% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#122 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Tuscumbia City (suburban): math 18% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #72 of 129 in AL (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: G W Trenholm Primary School (420 students, 66% FRL); Deshler Middle School (math 11% / reading 37%, grade F, #168 of 257 statewide, top 66%, 349 students, 71% FRL); Deshler High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 434 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 47% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Tuscumbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K2VK5Y0DDJ023C
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29