3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
818 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 198 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,508/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$483/mo
Annual
$5,800/yr
Cap rate
12.15%
Cash-on-cash
20.92%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#81 in TX, #2,808 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
Mount Pleasant ISD (town): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #291 of 826 in TX (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Annie Sims El (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 493 students, 76% FRL); Mount Pleasant J H (math 40% / reading 45%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 760 students, 81% FRL); Mount Pleasant H S (math 68% / reading 54%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 1,521 students, 79% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 549 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Titus County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 3.4% in Mount Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of significant wear
Major: siding
— Weathered and peeling
Major: fencing
— Old and in need of repair
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· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29