21851 Newland St #244

Huntington Beach, CA 92646

$75,000B+

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 960 sqft · Built 1968 · Manufactured · Active · 135 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,682/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax + insurance: −$191
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$563
• Net cashflow: $1,534/mo
• Annual: $18,404/yr
• Cap rate: 31.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 91.44%
• DSCR: 5.07
• 1% rule: 3.58%
• Cash to close: $21,000

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $75k).
• It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
• Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Zoned schools: John H. Eader Elementary (386 students, 25% FRL); Isaac L. Sowers Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 753 students, 21% FRL); Edison High (math 68% / reading 80%, grade B+, #85 of 1,170 statewide, top 8%, 2,034 students, 26% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 49% at this address vs 74% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntington Beach Union High average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 31.9% vs local median 1.7% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.