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21851 Newland St #244
B Composite 74.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

21851 Newland St #244 · Huntington Beach, CA 92646
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 87 Days on market
Built 1968 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Perfectly positioned in the desirable Huntington by the Sea community, this charming double-wide mobile home brings coastal living right to your doorstep. Offering 2 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, the home features a comfortable and functional layout ideal for everyday living or a relaxing beachside retreat. Recent upgrades add exceptional value including a new roof that is only one year old, new fencing for added privacy, a fresh concrete slab along the side that is perfect for outdoor seating, entertaining, or additional parking, and newly installed turf that provides a clean and low-maintenance outdoor space. Wake up to the refreshing ocean breeze and enjoy a lifestyle where every day feels

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1968
  • Listed 86 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager approval required; Pets allowed
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease payment
  • HOA & community: Land lease community (Huntington by the Sea); Community features include curbs, dog park, street lighting, storm drains, and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Has parking (within Huntington by the Sea park)
  • Utilities: Private sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (Model: Newmoon); Double-wide body type; One story; Entry at ground level
  • Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 24' x 40'; Year built recorded by assessor
  • Exterior features: Awning; Shed; Vinyl fencing; Back yard; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Quartz counters
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; Living room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Quartz countertops; Community spa
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in kitchen; Gas and electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($131k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.25%
Cap rate
28.78%
Cash-on-cash
80.29%
DSCR
4.57
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$244,800
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21851 Newland St #206 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 16mo $95,000 $94 76
21752 Pacific coast Hwy #20 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+15%) 11mo $280,000 $255 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.7%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$102,943
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
78.9%
Equity multiple
8.42×
Total profit
$228,447
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92646

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,571 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$750
Net cashflow
$1,994

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,046
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,070 -5% $2,032 +0% $1,994 +5% $1,956 +10% $1,918
Rent -10% $1,712 -5% $1,853 +0% $1,994 +5% $2,135 +10% $2,277
Rate -1.0pp $2,050 -0.5pp $2,022 base $1,994 +0.5pp $1,966 +1.0pp $1,937

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8461 Lomond Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 1.0 950 $3,800 $4.00 11d 1 0.43mi
21270 Beach Blvd Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 679 $3,537 $5.21 0d 13 0.50mi
8450 Atlanta Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 791 $2,845 $3.59 0d 9 0.71mi
7795 Neptune Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0–4.0 1.5–2.5 1155 $4,108 $3.56 0d 3 0.81mi
80 HUNTINGTON St Huntington Beach, OS 1.0 1.0 594 $2,950 $4.97 0d 1 0.83mi
21040 Pacific City Cir Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1137 $5,950 $5.23 0d 27 0.95mi
401 Atlanta Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 555 $2,270 $4.09 0d 3 0.96mi
229 Atlanta Ave Unit 229 Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,500 $3.57 0d 1 0.99mi
223 Atlanta Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,800 $4.00 0d 1 0.99mi
223 Atlanta Ave Unit 223 Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $2,750 $4.23 0d 1 0.99mi
7623 Bay Dr #103 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 968 $3,200 $3.31 0d 1 0.99mi
8877 Lauderdale Ct Unit 214C Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1009 $3,600 $3.57 0d 1 1.07mi
218 Chicago Ave Apt 2 Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,595 $4.33 0d 1 1.08mi
218 Chicago Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,545 $4.24 11d 2 1.08mi
218 Chicago Ave Unit 07 Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,495 $4.16 0d 1 1.08mi
227 1st St Unit 3 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $7,000 $6.67 19d 1 1.08mi
409 California St Unit 1 Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,200 $3.67 0d 1 1.11mi
8565 Trinity Cir Unit 821D Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1077 $3,450 $3.20 11d 1 1.12mi
8565 Trinity Cir Unit 821D Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1077 $3,450 $3.20 0d 1 1.12mi
200 Pacific Coast Hwy Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1064 $4,500 $4.23 0d 2 1.16mi
518 Geneva Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 530 $2,175 $4.10 0d 1 1.18mi
420 Lake St #101 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1023 $4,000 $3.91 20d 1 1.20mi
8302 Indianapolis Ave Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1045 $4,450 $4.26 20d 1 1.22mi
430 Lake St #202 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1023 $3,850 $3.76 19d 1 1.22mi
224 Frankfort Ave Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 925 $3,750 $4.05 0d 1 1.23mi
820 Geneva Ave Unit B Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $3,200 $4.27 25d 1 1.24mi
8933 Modesto Cir Unit 1215B Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1091 $3,200 $2.93 18d 1 1.36mi
8933 Modesto Cir Unit 1215B Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1091 $3,200 $2.93 0d 1 1.36mi
608 Olive Ave Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $4,195 $3.81 16d 1 1.39mi
20331 Bluffside Cir #221 Huntington Beach, CA 1.0 1.0 767 $2,900 $3.78 0d 1 1.42mi
20321 Tidepool Cir Unit 105 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1104 $3,700 $3.35 0d 1 1.43mi
20301 Bluffside Cir Unit D110 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1101 $5,250 $4.77 0d 1 1.45mi
711 Pacific Coast Hwy Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1089 $6,675 $6.13 0d 3 1.47mi
711 Pacific Coast Hwy #325 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 968 $9,500 $9.81 0d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $110,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $110,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
  17. 2026-03-26
    listed $129,900 Active
  18. 2024-07-12
    status Pending Sale
  19. 2024-07-08
    historical
  20. 2024-04-06
    price $114,500
  21. 2024-04-05
    status Active
  22. 2024-04-05
    status Pending Sale
  23. 2024-01-25
    price $123,500
  24. 2023-11-11
    listed $128,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥82°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,852
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$1,348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,428
− Management
−$3,428
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$23,636
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,673
After-tax cash flow
$18,261/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in excellent condition with recent upgrades, making it move-in ready and ideal for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Both New flooring in bedrooms — Improves comfort and aesthetics in living spaces

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Both New flooring in bedrooms — Improves comfort and aesthetics in living spaces

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntington Beach Union High
NCES district ID
0618060
Math proficiency
65% ▲ 17.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$78,159
Composite
64.9/100
National rank
#511
State rank
#39 of 517 in CA

Livability — Huntington Beach

Score
67/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#10298

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntington Beach, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
194,835
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
54,615
Household income
$130,672
Rent vs Own
25.6% rent · 74.4% own
Severe rent burden
1226.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 13% Two or more races 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 5% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1082.92%
Current HPI
459.3987
Rent YoY
▲ 1.20%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $129,900 CRMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-07-08 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-04-06 Price Changed $114,500 CRMLS
  • 2024-04-05 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-04-05 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-01-25 Price Changed $123,500 CRMLS
  • 2023-11-11 Listed $128,500 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…