479 Kelly St SE

Atlanta, GA 30312

$1,175,000C

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,030 sqft · Built 1961 · MultiFamily · Active · 50 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $12,001/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$6,162
• Tax + insurance: −$950
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,520
• Net cashflow: $2,369/mo
• Annual: $28,433/yr
• Cap rate: 8.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.64%
• DSCR: 1.38
• 1% rule: 1.02%
• Cash to close: $329,000

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.18M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $592/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $1.18M).
• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.14M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.14M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $35k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
• Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Martin L. King Jr. Middle School (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 818 students, 100% FRL); Maynard Jackson High School (math 30% / reading 24%, grade F, #160 of 424 statewide, top 38%, 1,474 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 8 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $337k; list at $1.18M implies a 248% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $12,001/mo this rent would consume 174% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 2010% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.