2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,138 sqft ·
Built 1925
· Other
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$180
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$-181/mo
Annual
$-2,167/yr
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-181 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (21.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (33.6% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-K85V0W86W3EFDF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29