604 S Prospect St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity near Historic Route 66! This property features a duplex plus a separate rear unit, totaling three 1 bed, 1 bath units with 1,570 sq ft combined. Unit C is currently leased at $850/month, while Units A & B (each 569 sq ft) are vacant and ready for updates--offering excellent value-add potential. Charming curb appeal with a covered front porch, mature trees, and defined unit entrances. Situated on a 6,970 sq ft lot with driveway and street parking. Projected rents of $750/$750/$850 create strong rental income potential. Ideal for investors looking to start or expand their portfolio.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Separate rear unit
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-181 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (21.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (33.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (33.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.16%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-34,114
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-37,316
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79106
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $996 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,416/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $-181
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 S Tennessee St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $895 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 89 N Fairmont St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,000 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 701 Sunset Ter Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 701 Sunset Ter Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,350 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4222 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $799 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4224 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $775 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4231 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $875 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4226 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $799 | $0.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4226 SW 2nd Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $949 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 206 N Prospect St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1479 | $950 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4215 SW 11th Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $995 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1008 S Mississippi St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $1,275 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 802 S Kentucky St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $899 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 705 S Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $850 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 900 S Avondale St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 108 N Florida St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $800 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3118 SW 15th Ave Amarillo, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $640 | $0.63 | 13d | 17 | 0.90mi |
| 1326 Hillcrest St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2306 SW 8th Ave Unit 2 Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 913 S Rusk St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1809 Chama St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-17$150,000 Active 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Investment opportunity near Historic Route 66! This property features a duplex plus a separate rear unit, totaling three 1 bed, 1 bath units with 1,570 sq ft combined. Unit C is currently leased at $850/month, while Units A & B (each 569 sq ft) are vacant and ready for updates--offering excellent value-add potential. Charming curb appeal with a covered front porch, mature trees, and defined unit entrances. Situated on a 6,970 sq ft lot with driveway and street parking. Projected rents of $750/$750/$850 create strong rental income potential. Ideal for investors looking to start or expand their portfolio.
-
2023-02-22$175,000 Active
-
2020-02-18soldstatus
-
2009-05-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,416 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,745 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,329/yr (+$111/mo · 93.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,416
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$956
- − Management
- −$956
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$4,896
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,175
- After-tax cash flow
- $-992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Potter County · 72,216 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,161
- Household income
- $59,493
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 994.0
Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,296 people
- By 2030
- 120,883 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 119,668 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 117,788 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 110,250 · -9.1%
- By 2100
- 92,923 · -23.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Potter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.4) · D 27.3% · R 71.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.4 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+41.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.04%
- Current HPI
- 178.2153
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $150,000 AARMLS
- 2023-02-22 Listed $175,000 AARMLS
- 2020-02-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,416 · +16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…