2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
789 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 175 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,159/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$552
HOA
−$544
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$-649/mo
Annual
$-7,793/yr
Cap rate
3.81%
Cash-on-cash
-8.88%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $240k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-649 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (39.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (10.1% below list).
It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Henry M. Flagler Elementary School (math 41% / reading 57%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 743 students, 69% FRL); Kinloch Park Middle School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 571 statewide, top 96%, 643 students, 66% FRL); Coral Gables Senior High School (math 31% / reading 53%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 2,824 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.5%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 1.4% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Some wear
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Some wear
Minor: Exterior paint
— Some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-K9FF5325X3ATXK
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29