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4801 NW 7 St Unit 209-16 🌊 Lakefront
F Composite 34.52
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.4/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

4801 NW 7 St Unit 209-16 · Miami, FL 33126
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 789 sqft · Condo · 175 Days on market
Built 1974 Fair condition $304/sqft · 13% below area Est $277k · 13% under · waterfront $544/mo HOA · 25% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

VERY SPACIOUS 2 BEDROOM 2 BATH LOCATED IN THE SUNSET VILLAS COMMUNITY GREAT LOCATION, CLOSE TO AIRPORT AND MAJOR MALLS, SECURE COMPLEX, READY TO MOVE IN AND EASY TO SHOW

Key facts

  • $544 HOA
  • Parking
  • Built 1974

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $240k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-649 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (39.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (10.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 1.4% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Henry M. Flagler Elementary School (math 41% / reading 57%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 743 students, 69% FRL); Kinloch Park Middle School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 571 statewide, top 96%, 643 students, 66% FRL); Coral Gables Senior High School (math 31% / reading 53%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 2,824 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.5%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $146,034 (39.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  7. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  8. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  9. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  10. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  11. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  12. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  13. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  14. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  15. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
3.81%
Cash-on-cash
-8.88%
DSCR
0.60
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$277,187
List price
$240,000
Delta
-13.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-42.8%
Equity multiple
-0.28×
Total profit
$-86,115
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.24×
Total profit
$-150,821
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active · 6 under contract
Median asking
$256,750 ($405/sqft)
Median days on market
11 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-13.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33126

Rents YoY
-4.5%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,159 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax est. 1.5%
$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
Insurance
$100
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$544
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$453
Net cashflow
$-649

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,981
Max offer price $146,034
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-484 -5% $-566 +0% $-649 +5% $-732 +10% $-815
Rent -10% $-820 -5% $-735 +0% $-649 +5% $-564 +10% $-479
Rate -1.0pp $-529 -0.5pp $-588 base $-649 +0.5pp $-712 +1.0pp $-775

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
Lease consideredPets allowed with size limit (maximum 20 lbs)
HOA & community
Monthly association fee of $544 covering common areas

Exterior

Parking
One parking space
Security
Security guard
Utilities
Has heating and cooling (central)
Home design
Condominium/attached property7-story buildingEntry on level 2
Construction
Block constructionResale property
Exterior features
Security guard

Interior

Kitchen
Electric rangeRefrigerator
Flooring
Tile
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Tile flooringOther interior features

HOA detail $544/mo · $6,528/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 175 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $240,000 Active 173 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $240,000 Active 172 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 171 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 170 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 167 DOM
  7. 2026-07-28
    days on market $240,000 Active 164 DOM
  8. 2026-07-24
    days on market $240,000 Active 160 DOM
  9. 2026-07-23
    days on market $240,000 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-07-22
    days on market $240,000 Active 158 DOM
  11. 2026-07-21
    days on market $240,000 Active 157 DOM
  12. 2026-07-20
    days on market $240,000 Active 156 DOM
  13. 2026-07-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 154 DOM
  14. 2026-07-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 152 DOM
  15. 2026-07-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 151 DOM
  16. 2026-07-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 149 DOM
  17. 2026-07-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 148 DOM
  18. 2026-07-11
    days on market $240,000 Active 147 DOM
  19. 2026-07-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 146 DOM
  20. 2026-07-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 145 DOM
  21. 2026-07-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 143 DOM
  22. 2026-07-06
    days on market $240,000 Active 142 DOM
  23. 2026-07-06
    days on market $240,000 Active 141 DOM
  24. 2026-07-05
    days on market $240,000 Active 140 DOM
  25. 2026-07-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 139 DOM
  26. 2026-07-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 138 DOM
  27. 2026-07-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 137 DOM
  28. 2026-06-30
    days on market $240,000 Active 136 DOM
  29. 2026-06-29
    days on market $240,000 Active 135 DOM
  30. 2026-06-28
    days on market $240,000 Active 134 DOM
  31. 2026-06-27
    days on market $240,000 Active 133 DOM
  32. 2026-06-26
    days on market $240,000 Active 132 DOM
  33. 2026-06-24
    days on market $240,000 Active 130 DOM
  34. 2026-06-22
    days on market $240,000 Active 128 DOM
  35. 2026-06-21
    days on market $240,000 Active 127 DOM
  36. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 124 DOM
  37. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 123 DOM
  38. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 122 DOM
  39. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 121 DOM
  40. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 119 DOM
  41. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 115 DOM
  42. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 114 DOM
  43. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 113 DOM
  44. 2026-06-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 110 DOM
  45. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 109 DOM
  46. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 108 DOM
  47. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 107 DOM
  48. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 106 DOM
  49. 2026-02-02
    listed $240,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,902
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$3,600
− Insurance
−$3,024
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,072
− Management
−$2,072
− HOA
−$6,528
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$11,820
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,837
After-tax cash flow
$-4,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $3,945–$11,835 screening

A modestly maintained townhouse with average condition, requiring minor repairs and maintenance to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Some wear
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Some wear
  • Minor Exterior paint — Some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn-out flooring — Improves living space and reduces maintenance costs
  • Both Clean and organize kitchen and bathrooms — Creates a more inviting and functional living space

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 38/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Henry M. Flagler Elementary School D FL #1,134/2,144 Nat'l #13,933/41,679 Middle Kinloch Park Middle School F FL #546/571 Nat'l #11,105/14,009 High Coral Gables Senior High School F FL #275/667 Nat'l #7,572/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Miami

Score
78/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#2724

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
City population
827,308
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,307
Household income
$58,210
Rent vs Own
63.5% rent · 36.5% own
Severe rent burden
20% of renters

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 50% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 60% Dominican 2%
Foreign-born
76% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
8% English-only · Spanish 91%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $240,000 MARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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