1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
778 sqft ·
Built 1877
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$789/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$166
Net cashflow
$285/mo
Annual
$3,424/yr
Cap rate
13.14%
Cash-on-cash
24.46%
DSCR
2.09
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($789 rent vs $50k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#506 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities D-.
Quincy SD 172 (town): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #328 of 620 in IL (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lincoln-Douglas Elementary School (math 30% / reading 25%, grade F, #742 of 2,056 statewide, top 36%, 588 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Jr High School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #295 of 665 statewide, top 45%, 1,348 students, 0% FRL); Quincy Sr High School (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 1,924 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 68 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.3% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KA76PBC4QHP8PV
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29