4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,464 sqft ·
Built 1898
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,313/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,115
Tax + insurance
−$696
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,746
Net cashflow
$2,756/mo
Annual
$33,077/yr
Cap rate
11.86%
Cash-on-cash
19.89%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$166,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $594k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $594k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($585k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $585k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living D.
Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: North High (math 10% / reading 28%, grade F, #313 of 343 statewide, top 92%, 1,377 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 19 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $152k; list at $594k implies a 291% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $166k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.1% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,313/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 634% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KA8SYADNG44G6P
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29