3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,236 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 274 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,060/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$648
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$223
Net cashflow
$74/mo
Annual
$883/yr
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.55%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$34,580
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($883/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (14.1% below list).
It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $854 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#224 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Leaksville-Spray Elementary (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,073 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 404 students, 99% FRL); J E Holmes Middle (math 31% / reading 37%, grade F, #294 of 475 statewide, top 63%, 627 students, 99% FRL); John M Morehead High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #427 of 535 statewide, top 81%, 814 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 52% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.3% in Eden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KACS8C22X0JCT6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29