3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 312 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,918/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$417
HOA
−$65
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$-277/mo
Annual
$-3,326/yr
Cap rate
4.96%
Cash-on-cash
-4.75%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$69,997
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-277 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (16.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (23.3% below list).
It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $192k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#352 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pageland Elementary (math 21% / reading 19%, grade F, #492 of 597 statewide, top 83%, 324 students, 100% FRL); New Heights Middle (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #191 of 229 statewide, top 85%, 531 students, 100% FRL); Central High (math 27% / reading 72%, grade D, #151 of 196 statewide, top 79%, 644 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.5% in Pageland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,918/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-KAJG92EAJEHXD8
· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29