3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,828 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,293/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$272
Net cashflow
$281/mo
Annual
$3,368/yr
Cap rate
9.22%
Cash-on-cash
10.46%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Elkton-Pigeon-Bay Port Laker Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #233 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Huron County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KAYEAD186WSWEB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29