7036 Clabuesch St · Winsor, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on a spacious corner lot sits this 3-bedroom 1.5 bath ranch with a one car attached garage! The home offers a large living room with hardwood floors going throughout the main level. Galley kitchen and a large mud/laundry room or use as a bonus recreation room! The full bath has been recently remodeled with dual sinks and a walk-in shower. All three bedrooms are nice in size. There is also an additional half bath off the laundry room. Outside you will find the private backyard and a spacious rear deck for entertaining. Located just 20 minutes to Bad Axe or 11 minutes to Caseville!
Key facts
- Galley kitchen
- Mud laundry room
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the EAST END subdivision; Directions: Frank to Clabuesch, then east to address; Cross streets: Sturm and Clabuesch
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Wood siding
- Construction: Metal roof; Block foundation; Wood siding construction; Built area above grade approximately 1,300 square feet
- Exterior features: Deck; Corner lot; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 98 x 112 (0.25 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance list provided
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Elkton-Pigeon-Bay Port Laker Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #233 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Huron County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.46%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,616
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7310 Nitz St | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,587 (-13%) | 24mo | $114,900 | $72 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-775
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $22,285
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48755
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $281
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$119,900 Active 595-char remark
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Situated on a spacious corner lot sits this 3-bedroom 1.5 bath ranch with a one car attached garage! The home offers a large living room with hardwood floors going throughout the main level. Galley kitchen and a large mud/laundry room or use as a bonus recreation room! The full bath has been recently remodeled with dual sinks and a walk-in shower. All three bedrooms are nice in size. There is also an additional half bath off the laundry room. Outside you will find the private backyard and a spacious rear deck for entertaining. Located just 20 minutes to Bad Axe or 11 minutes to Caseville!
-
2026-05-07$119,900 Active
Show marketing remark (595 chars)
Situated on a spacious corner lot sits this 3-bedroom 1.5 bath ranch with a one car attached garage! The home offers a large living room with hardwood floors going throughout the main level. Galley kitchen and a large mud/laundry room or use as a bonus recreation room! The full bath has been recently remodeled with dual sinks and a walk-in shower. All three bedrooms are nice in size. There is also an additional half bath off the laundry room. Outside you will find the private backyard and a spacious rear deck for entertaining. Located just 20 minutes to Bad Axe or 11 minutes to Caseville!
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2026-04-28historical
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2026-04-28historical
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2026-04-07historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
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2026-04-07historical Active Under Contract
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2026-03-10status Active
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2026-03-09historical
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2026-01-11price $120,000
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2026-01-10price $120,000
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2025-11-05$124,900 Active
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2025-11-04$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,426 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$345/yr (+$29/mo · 32.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,241
- − Management
- −$1,241
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,593
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$382
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkton-Pigeon-Bay Port Laker Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2613090
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,799
- Composite
- 32.92/100
- National rank
- #5600
- State rank
- #233 of 540 in MI
Livability — Winsor
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pigeon, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,867
Population outlook (Huron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,325 people
- By 2030
- 27,810 · -5.2%
- By 2040
- 24,571 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 21,573 · -26.4%
- By 2075
- 16,120 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 11,097 · -62.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Huron
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.6) · D 29.1% · R 69.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.2pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -40.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.6 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.87%
- Current HPI
- 237.1887
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-10 Price Changed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-05 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-04 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,080 · -50.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…