2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$430
Tax + insurance
−$64
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$482
Net cashflow
$1,321/mo
Annual
$15,849/yr
Cap rate
25.62%
Cash-on-cash
69.03%
DSCR
4.07
1% rule
2.80%
Cash to close
$22,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $82k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $82k).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($567 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#915 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $82k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 3.8% in Penn Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KB4QPR0658V47W
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29