1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
947 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,914
Tax + insurance
−$678
HOA
−$1,081
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$714
Net cashflow
$-987/mo
Annual
$-11,846/yr
Cap rate
3.05%
Cash-on-cash
-11.59%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$102,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $365k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-987 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (47.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (6.8% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $191k (47.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Evergreen Elementary (urban): math 61% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #132 of 1,400 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Chaboya Middle (853 students, 14% FRL); Evergreen Valley High (math 76% / reading 83%, grade A-, #45 of 1,170 statewide, top 4%, 2,767 students, 13% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Evergreen Elementary average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $265k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KCPGD84MFDEZ4W
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29