5092 Cribari Pl · San Jose, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$365,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully refreshed single-level, townhome-style residence in the highly sought-after Villages Golf & Country Club, Silicon Valleys premier gated 55+ community. With no units above or below, the home offers an exceptional combination of privacy, comfort & low-maintenance living. Fresh interior paint, new carpet, LVP flooring, and a new water heater create a move-in-ready environment. A skylight and beamed ceiling enhance the dining area, adding warmth and character to the open living spaces. The kitchen offers abundant cabinetry & generous counter space. The spacious bedroom features a walk-in closet, while the bath includes an oversized vanity & dedicated dressing area. Step outside to a large private patio, ideal for morning coffee, outdoor dining, or simply enjoying the surroundings. Residents enjoy an unmatched lifestyle with 24-hour security, golf courses, swimming pools, tennis & pickleball courts, fitness center, community gardens, and an on-site restaurant. A wide variety of clubs, activities & social events create a vibrant and welcoming community. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, this is an exceptional opportunity to enjoy resort-style living in one of Silicon Valley's most established active-adult communities.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Oversized vanity
- Private back patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in a large complex (over 2,300 units total); Tract: The Villages Golf & Country Club; Zoning: R1-1P
- Financial info: City transfer tax applies
- HOA & community: Has HOA (The Villages Golf & Country Club); HOA fee applies; HOA transfer fee applies; HOA amenities include club house, garden/greenbelt/trails, golf course, gym/exercise facility, organized activities, community pool, recreation room, sauna/spa/hot tub, outdoor game court, tennis facility, concierge, community security gate; HOA fees cover cable/dish, common area electricity, common area gas, garbage, common area insurance, landscaping/gardening, common area maintenance, pools/spa/tennis, recreation facility, roof, security service, and water
Exterior
- Parking: 1 carport; Covered parking; Guest/visitor parking; Parking restrictions
- Security: Security gate with guard; Community security gate (HOA amenity)
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Public utilities
- Home design: Single-story; Common interest development; Senior community (55+); Security gate with guard; Facing: not specified
- Construction: Concrete slab foundation; Roof: other (see remarks); Year built: not specified; Property type: not specified
- Exterior features: Backyard; Balcony/Patio; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (ground floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Other (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath with shower over tub
- Heating & cooling: Central forced air heating; Central forced air cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closet; Skylight(s); Storage
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry facility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $365k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-987 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (47.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (47.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 1.6% in San Jose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#68 in CA, #2,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Evergreen Elementary (urban): math 61% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #132 of 1,400 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Chaboya Middle (853 students, 14% FRL); Evergreen Valley High (math 76% / reading 83%, grade A-, #45 of 1,170 statewide, top 4%, 2,767 students, 13% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Evergreen Elementary average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $265k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.59%
- DSCR
- 0.48
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $492,899
- List price
- $365,000
- Delta
- -25.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-99,158
- Equity at exit
- $77,934
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.41×
- Total profit
- $-144,086
- Equity at exit
- $73,452
Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Jose
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+24
ZIP-level market 95135
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,914
- Tax from tax record
- −$526 /mo · $6,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- HOA
- −$1,081
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $-987
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-781 | -5% $-884 | +0% $-987 | +5% $-1,090 | +10% $-1,194 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,256 | -5% $-1,121 | +0% $-987 | +5% $-853 | +10% $-719 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-803 | -0.5pp $-894 | base $-987 | +0.5pp $-1,082 | +1.0pp $-1,178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,250
- Closing costs
- $10,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2830 Buena Knoll Ct San Jose, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,400 | $3.24 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,081 · $12,972/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $365,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $365,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $365,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $365,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $365,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $365,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $365,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $365,000 Contingent 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $365,000 Contingent 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $365,000 Contingent 117 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $365,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $365,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $365,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $365,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $365,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $365,000 1300-char remark
-
2026-05-14price $365,000 1300-char remark
-
2026-03-19price $380,000 1300-char remark
-
2026-03-19price $380,000 1300-char remark
-
2026-02-25price $395,000 1300-char remark
-
2026-02-25price $395,000 1300-char remark
-
2026-02-10$422,500 Active 1300-char remark
-
2026-02-10$422,500 Active 1300-char remark
-
2005-01-26soldstatus $265,000 241-char remark
-
2005-01-26historical 241-char remark
-
2005-01-26soldstatus $265,000
-
2004-12-25soldstatus $265,000 241-char remark
-
2004-12-21$265,000 241-char remark
-
2004-12-21$265,000 241-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,312 · $526/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,312 · $526/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,446
- − Property taxes
- −$6,312
- − Insurance
- −$1,825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,264
- − Management
- −$3,264
- − HOA
- −$12,972
- − Depreciation
- −$10,618
- Taxable loss
- −$17,900
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,296
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0613140
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,078
- Composite
- 60.98/100
- National rank
- #1615
- State rank
- #132 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Jose
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #2559
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Jose, CA
- City population
- 954,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,503
Population outlook (Santa Clara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,179,074 people
- By 2030
- 2,301,297 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 2,528,195 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 2,712,135 · +24.5%
- By 2075
- 2,998,701 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 2,931,429 · +34.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 57% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · China, Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Chinese 11% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Clara
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.0) · D 68.1% · R 28.1% · Other 3.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: 40.9pp · 2024: 40.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.0 2020: D+47.4 2016: D+52.5 2012: D+42.1 2008: D+40.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.59%
- Current HPI
- 332.7345
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+37.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $365,000 MLSListings
- 2026-06-10 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-06-10 Relisted — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-06-10 Listed $365,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-06-05 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-02-10 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2005-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-26 Listing Removed — MLSListings
- 2005-01-26 Sold (MLS) $265,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2004-12-25 Sold (MLS) $265,000 MLSListings
- 2004-12-21 Listed $265,000 MLSListings
- 2004-12-21 Listed $265,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,312 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…