4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,067 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,357/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$353
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$224/mo
Annual
$2,690/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.92%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (3.8% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#168 in MN, #3,640 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, health & safety F.
Bloomington Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #192 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $245k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.5% in Bloomington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KD4JZ5F968305X
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29