8217 Lyndale Ave S · Bloomington, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Handyman special / investor special - large rambler with 4 bed, 1 bath, 1 car garage home. Nice backyard with fenced-in area! Priced accordingly.
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car) with concrete floor; garage dimensions approximately 26 x 12
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One level (main living on one level); Publicly maintained road access
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Foundation area approximately 1,088
- Exterior features: Metal exterior; Chain link fence; Paved streets with sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen center island; Kitchen window; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total (three on the main level; one on the lower level)
- Bathrooms: One full bath and one half bath; Main floor full bath
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Eat-in kitchen and informal dining area; Kitchen with center island and window; Breezeway; Recreation room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (3.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $236k (3.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.5% in Bloomington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#168 in MN, #3,640 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Bloomington Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #192 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $245k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.92%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $390,952
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -37.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-25,421
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-3,745
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55420
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,357 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $224
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 W 86th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,700 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1021 W 86th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,700 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7333 Harriet Ave Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,889 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7241 Harriet Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7305 3rd Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1562 | $2,550 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7317 Clinton Ave Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2023 | $3,119 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 602 E 73rd St Richfield, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1623 | $2,350 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-10status $245,000 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $245,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-16$250,000 Active 180-char remark
-
2026-05-15historical $250,000 180-char remark
-
1989-11-20soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,008 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,008 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$3,008
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,262
- − Management
- −$2,262
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$1,329
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$319
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloomington Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2705790
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,279
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #4431
- State rank
- #192 of 301 in MN
Livability — Bloomington
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #3640
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bloomington, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 88,605
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,451
- Household income
- $82,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.94%
- Current HPI
- 252.3077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+250.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $245,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-16 Listed $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Coming Soon $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,008 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…