1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
766 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Active
· 402 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,248/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$419
HOA
−$642
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$472
Net cashflow
$-649/mo
Annual
$-7,785/yr
Cap rate
3.30%
Cash-on-cash
-10.70%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$72,772
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-649 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (44.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (13.5% below list).
It's been on market 402 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (44.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $710 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Las Estrellas Elementary (math 15% / reading 12%, grade F, #797 of 857 statewide, top 93%, 336 students, 75% FRL); Northeast Middle (math 13% / reading 31%, grade F, #225 of 258 statewide, top 89%, 501 students, 65% FRL); Edison High (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 896 students, 76% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $173k; list at $260k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 402 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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