None bd · None ba ·
15,036 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 819 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$17,072/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,080
Tax + insurance
−$2,677
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,585
Net cashflow
$3,731/mo
Annual
$44,769/yr
Cap rate
9.99%
Cash-on-cash
13.20%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$378,000
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $1.35M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($45k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $1.35M).
It's been on market 819 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.19M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.19M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A; Watch: commute D, schools F, crime F.
Atlantic City School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #454 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 482 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $205k; list at $1.35M implies a 559% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $378k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.7% in Atlantic City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $17,072/mo this rent would consume 498% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 3414% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 819 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KEP1FC6WRTKERA
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29