4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,587 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Townhouse
· Under Contract
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,187/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$33
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$459
Net cashflow
$235/mo
Annual
$2,821/yr
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.48%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (2.8% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $219k (2.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tanners Creek Elementary (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,108 statewide, top 94%, 530 students, 98% FRL); Norview High (math 33% / reading 85%, grade C+, #256 of 319 statewide, top 81%, 1,915 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 59% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $225k implies a 492% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KETZWJB5BTJ3PX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29