3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,278 sqft ·
Built 1895
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 378 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,230/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,240
Tax + insurance
−$453
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$468
Net cashflow
$69/mo
Annual
$829/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.25%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$66,220
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $236k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($829/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (5.7% below list).
It's been on market 378 days — a 12% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#42 in CT, #2,997 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
Naugatuck School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #105 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $236k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.3% in Naugatuck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 378 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KGARVA096AHBE1
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29