465 N Main St · Naugatuck, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$236,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property - no interior photos. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Great Opportunity to own this single-family home built in 1895 featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. ***SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to take care of Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. ***
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Built 1895
- Listed 378 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $236k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($829/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (5.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.4% in Naugatuck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#42 in CT, #2,997 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute D-.
- Naugatuck School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #105 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 378 days — a 12% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $236k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 378 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.25%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $364,792
- List price
- $236,500
- Delta
- -35.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Neagle St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,254 (-1%) | 8mo | $349,000 | $155 | 72 |
| 310 Hillside Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 2,221 (-2%) | 7mo | $470,000 | $212 | 54 |
| 43 Neagle St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 2,078 (-9%) | 22mo | $280,000 | $135 | 53 |
| 84 Ruela Dr | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 2,324 (+2%) | 6mo | $475,000 | $204 | 51 |
| 310 Wooster St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 2,253 (-1%) | 12mo | $270,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 142 Applewood Ln | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,306 (+1%) | 6mo | $490,000 | $212 | 47 |
| 190 Auburn St | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,051 (-10%) | 2mo | $456,000 | $222 | 46 |
| 180 Auburn St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 2,329 (+2%) | 22mo | $425,000 | $182 | 45 |
| 129 High Ridge Rd | 0.48mi | 3/3.0 | 2,020 (-11%) | 12mo | $390,000 | $193 | 41 |
| 136 High Ridge Rd | 0.50mi | 3/3.5 | 1,938 (-15%) | 7mo | $425,000 | $219 | 36 |
| 29 Grove St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 2,046 (-10%) | 18mo | $405,000 | $198 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-26,372
- Equity at exit
- $35,263
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $15,796
- Equity at exit
- $20,448
Cash invested: $66,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06770
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,240
- Tax from tax record
- −$354 /mo · $4,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$99
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $136 | +0% $69 | +5% $2 | +10% $-65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-107 | -5% $-19 | +0% $69 | +5% $157 | +10% $245 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $188 | -0.5pp $129 | base $69 | +0.5pp $8 | +1.0pp $-55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,125
- Closing costs
- $7,095
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Myrtle Ave Naugatuck, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3254 | $2,000 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 112 Woodbine St Unit 1st Naugatuck, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2530 | $2,300 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 32 Tyler Hill Rd Naugatuck, CT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2388 | $3,800 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 46 Carroll St Unit left side Naugatuck, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $1,575 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 43 Hoadley St Naugatuck, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2816 | $2,000 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $236,500 Active 378 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $236,500 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $236,500 Active 376 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $236,500 Active 375 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $236,500 Active 373 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $236,500 Active 370 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $236,500 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $236,500 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $236,500 Active 367 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $236,500 Active 364 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $236,500 Active 363 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $236,500 Active 362 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $236,500 Active 361 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $236,500 Active 360 DOM
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2025-06-04$236,500 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
REO Occupied - NO ACCESS OR VIEWINGS of this property - no interior photos. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. Great Opportunity to own this single-family home built in 1895 featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths. ***SPECIAL NOTES: (1) This is a CASH ONLY transaction. (2) Seller to take care of Taxes, HOA, and Municipal/Utility Liens. (3) Please read the Auction disclaimers carefully before placing a bid or submitting an offer. ***
-
2010-03-25soldstatus $145,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Reduced! House and 2 separate lots will convey together. Home being sold as is (nothing else will be moved out). House may go fha but can also be used as an office. Priced for action. Park on golden court side. Easy to show - use show desk
-
2009-10-01$154,900 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Reduced! House and 2 separate lots will convey together. Home being sold as is (nothing else will be moved out). House may go fha but can also be used as an office. Priced for action. Park on golden court side. Easy to show - use show desk
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,248 · $354/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,655 · $388/mo
- Expected delta
- +$407/yr (+$34/mo · 9.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,248
- − Property taxes
- −$4,248
- − Insurance
- −$1,182
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,141
- − Management
- −$2,141
- − Depreciation
- −$6,880
- Taxable loss
- −$3,078
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$739
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Naugatuck School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902640
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,060
- Composite
- 33.44/100
- National rank
- #5463
- State rank
- #105 of 153 in CT
Livability — Naugatuck
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #42
- US rank
- #2997
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Naugatuck, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 31,823
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,823
- Household income
- $96,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 788.0
Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 496,846
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Russian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.73%
- Current HPI
- 217.6177
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.23%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+52.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-04 Listed $236,500 Smart MLS
- 2010-03-25 Sold (MLS) $145,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-10-01 Listed $154,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2022): $4,248 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…