12 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,452 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 232 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,589/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$599
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$754
Net cashflow
$533/mo
Annual
$6,391/yr
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.03%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$90,972
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.7-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $178/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in KS, #979 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
Manhattan-Ogden (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #26 of 169 in KS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Riley County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riley County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $139k; list at $325k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,589/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 3089% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KGPKZFA59YDYWM
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29