6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,828 sqft ·
Built 1896
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,938/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,097
Tax + insurance
−$666
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,037
Net cashflow
$1,137/mo
Annual
$13,649/yr
Cap rate
9.71%
Cash-on-cash
12.19%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$111,972
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $379/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $400k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Washington School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #545 of 553 statewide, top 99%, 296 students, 79% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #165 of 175 statewide, top 94%, 817 students, 81% FRL); Crosby High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #187 of 194 statewide, top 96%, 1,400 students, 84% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.5% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,938/mo this rent would consume 113% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 801% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The kitchen cabinets appear to be in good condition, with no visible damage.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom fixtures appear to be in good condition, with no visible damage.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding appears to have some wear and tear, indicating a need for maintenance or repair.
Minor: Flooring
— The flooring appears to be in good condition, with no visible damage.
Minor: Interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint appear to be in good condition, with no visible damage.
Minor: HVAC system
— The HVAC system appears to be in good condition, with no visible damage.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29