3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,712 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,243/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$445
Tax + insurance
−$272
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$265/mo
Annual
$3,175/yr
Cap rate
10.82%
Cash-on-cash
16.16%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$23,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,171 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Northern Tioga SD (rural): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #301 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clark Wood El Sch (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 294 students, 100% FRL); Williamson Shs (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #285 of 437 statewide, top 65%, 535 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 45% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $85k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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