3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 214 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$792/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$24
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$166
Net cashflow
$470/mo
Annual
$5,643/yr
Cap rate
28.86%
Cash-on-cash
80.61%
DSCR
4.59
1% rule
3.17%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($792 rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $12k; list at $25k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 28.9% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KJVDQAE17C1ACK
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29