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B- Composite 66.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

2604 E Jackson Ave · West Memphis, AR 72301
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 888 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 214 Days on market
Built 1952 6,097 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Estate Sale and property being SOLD AS IS.

Key facts

  • 6,097 sq ft lot
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 214 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($792 rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.9% vs local median 7.0% in West Memphis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#413 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • West Memphis School District (suburban): math 16% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 238 in AR (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 69 units permitted in Crittenden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crittenden County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $25k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.17%
Cap rate
28.86%
Cash-on-cash
80.61%
DSCR
4.59
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$15,096
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2919 Beatty St 0.73mi 3/1.0 936 (+5%) 5mo $16,000 $17 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.8%
Equity multiple
4.70×
Total profit
$25,899
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
84.2%
Equity multiple
9.73×
Total profit
$61,121
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72301

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$792 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $166/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$166
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $197
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2416 Thompson Ave West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.0 550 $738 $1.34 1d 3 0.53mi
2400 Goodwin Ave West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.5 1100 $775 $0.70 43d 1 1.02mi
2401 Wheeler Ave West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 43d 1 1.08mi
741 N 18th St West Memphis, AR 2.0 1.0 814 $940 $1.15 4d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2025-11-08
    status Pending
  2. 2025-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2025-04-07
    listed $25,000 Active
  4. 1990-12-01
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$166 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$166 · $14/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,503
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$166
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$760
− Management
−$760
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$5,563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,335
After-tax cash flow
$4,307/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Memphis School District
NCES district ID
0508040
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$29,382
Composite
12.22/100
National rank
#9647
State rank
#224 of 238 in AR

Livability — West Memphis

Score
55/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#23638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Memphis, AR
City population
24,182
Population (ZIP)
24,182

Population outlook (Crittenden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,254 people
By 2030
42,953 · -5.1%
By 2040
38,235 · -15.5%
By 2050
33,670 · -25.6%
By 2075
24,315 · -46.3%
By 2100
17,173 · -62.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crittenden

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 47.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.7pp · 2024: 2.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.3 2020: D+7.2 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.63%
Current HPI
182.7665
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-08 Pending EARA
  • 2025-04-07 Contingent EARA
  • 2025-04-07 Listed $25,000 EARA
  • 1990-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $166 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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