2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,889/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$722
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$397
Net cashflow
$541/mo
Annual
$6,489/yr
Cap rate
11.00%
Cash-on-cash
16.83%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$38,570
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $541 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $952 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,141 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Exeter Township SD (suburban): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #141 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KK0GNPDA7XRM2F
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29