4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,822 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,426
Tax + insurance
−$1,059
HOA
−$52
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,281
Net cashflow
$-718/mo
Annual
$-8,619/yr
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.65%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$236,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $844k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-718 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $717k (15.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $610k (27.7% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $610k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#289 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
White River School District (suburban): math 57% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #35 of 291 in WA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mountain Meadow Elementary (416 students, 22% FRL); Glacier Middle School (970 students, 35% FRL); White River High School (1,263 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.7% in Lake Tapps — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KM6XF56JR02GGB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29