48 Cedar Ave

Newark, NJ 07106-1217

$749,999D

9 bd · 3.6 ba · — sqft · Built 1930 · MultiFamily · Active · 41 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $6,387/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,933
• Tax + insurance: −$1,250
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,341
• Net cashflow: $-137/mo
• Annual: $-1,648/yr
• Cap rate: 6.07%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.78%
• DSCR: 0.97
• 1% rule: 0.85%
• Cash to close: $210,000

Investor read

• This is a 2×3bd/1ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $750k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-46/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $730k (2.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $639k (14.8% below list).
• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($727k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $639k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $28k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: housing D+, crime F, employment D-.
• Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Ann Street School (math 13% / reading 34%, grade F, #921 of 1,303 statewide, top 71%, 1,200 students, 78% FRL); East Side High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #357 of 399 statewide, top 90%, 2,255 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?