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48 Cedar Ave Triplex
D Composite 43.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$749,999

48 Cedar Ave · Newark, NJ 07106-1217
9 bd · 3.6 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 41 Days on market
Built 1930 Good condition 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

48 Cedar Ave is a well-maintained 3-family property offering strong rental potential and immediate cash flow. The 1st floor features 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, currently rented at $2,150/month. The 2nd floor unit includes 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, with access to the basement and garage, generating $2,798/month. The 3rd floor offers a 2-bedroom, 1 bath unit, currently vacant, but perfect for an owner-occupant or to lease for additional income (projected at $1,750/month). Ideally located just off South Orange Ave, this property provides convenient access to major highways, public transportation, shopping, and schools. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your portfolio or a buyer seeking to offset

Key facts

  • Access to basement
  • Shopping
  • Schools

Tags

ACCESS TO BASEMENTPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONSHOPPINGSCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: 3 total units; Reported net operating income, gross income, and total operating expenses listed as $0

Exterior

  • Parking: One detached garage (1 garage space); One additional parking space; Driveway with 1-car width
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Three-story multi-unit building
  • Construction: Year built listed as approximate
  • Exterior features: Wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range/oven in each unit
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms; Unit 3: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms and one half bathroom total; Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom; Unit 3: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Three heating units (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Finished full basement; Carbon monoxide detectors; Fire alarm systems in each unit
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities include electric and natural gas

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2×3bd/1ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $750k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-46/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $730k (2.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $639k (14.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $639k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: housing D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ann Street School (math 13% / reading 34%, grade F, #921 of 1,303 statewide, top 71%, 1,200 students, 78% FRL); East Side High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #357 of 399 statewide, top 90%, 2,255 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $28k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($727k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $638,700 (14.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.78%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
29 Cedar Ave 0.05mi 10/3.0 (+1) 1mo $700,000 77
16 Alexander St 0.28mi 8/3.0 (-1) 0mo $560,000 67
132 S Munn Ave 0.40mi 9/4.0 4mo $450,000 64
76-78 Halstead St 0.49mi 9/3.0 1mo $810,000 61
552 Norwood St 0.45mi 8/3.0 (-1) 0mo $550,000 59
20 Stuyvesant Ave 0.52mi 9/3.0 4mo $650,000 58
487 S 20th St 0.61mi 8/3.0 (-1) 4mo $750,000 48
163-165 Brookdale Ave 0.67mi 10/4.0 (+1) 2mo $570,000 48
275 Rhode Island Ave 0.63mi 8/3.0 (-1) 5mo $812,000 47
232-236 West End Ave 0.72mi 8/3.0 (-1) 1mo $540,000 46
443 Norwood St 0.46mi 8/8.0 (-1) 4mo $840,000 43
413 S 16th St 0.75mi 8/6.0 (-1) 2mo $750,000 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$81,697
Equity at exit
$337,232
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$303,343
Equity at exit
$519,715

Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City Newark
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+59
Rent control + strict just-cause.

ZIP-level market 07106-1217

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
28.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,387 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,933
Tax est. 1.5%
$937 /mo · $11,250/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,341
Net cashflow
$-137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,561
Max offer price $730,125
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $381 -5% $122 +0% $-137 +5% $-396 +10% $-656
Rent -10% $-642 -5% $-390 +0% $-137 +5% $115 +10% $367
Rate -1.0pp $240 -0.5pp $53 base $-137 +0.5pp $-332 +1.0pp $-529

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $2,014
Total (3 units) $6,387

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,500
Closing costs
$22,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $749,999 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $749,999 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $749,999 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $749,999 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $749,999 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $749,999 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $749,999 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $749,999 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $749,999 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $749,999 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $749,999 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $749,999 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $749,999 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $749,999 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $749,999 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    listed $749,999 Active 793-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$76,644
− Mortgage interest
−$42,012
− Property taxes
−$11,250
− Insurance
−$3,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,132
− Management
−$6,132
− Depreciation
−$21,818
Taxable loss
−$14,449
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,468
After-tax cash flow
$1,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-family property is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers strong rental potential and immediate cash flow.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Reorganizing and decluttering interior spaces — Improves flow and makes the property more appealing
  • Both Upgrading light fixtures — Modernizes the property and improves energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Reorganizing and decluttering interior spaces — Improves flow and makes the property more appealing
  • Both Upgrading light fixtures — Modernizes the property and improves energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newark Public School District
NCES district ID
3411340
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,891
Composite
14.24/100
National rank
#9449
State rank
#452 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Newark

Score
67/100
State rank
#343
US rank
#11138

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D- Housing D+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newark, NJ

Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
825,042 people
By 2030
834,010 · +1.1%
By 2040
846,221 · +2.6%
By 2050
850,047 · +3.0%
By 2075
837,009 · +1.5%
By 2100
784,345 · -4.9%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $749,999 GSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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