1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
499 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Condo
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,722/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,379
Tax + insurance
−$438
HOA
−$535
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$-991/mo
Annual
$-11,894/yr
Cap rate
1.77%
Cash-on-cash
-16.16%
DSCR
0.28
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$73,612
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $263k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-991 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (54.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (34.5% below list).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (54.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Franklin Elementary (496 students, 94% FRL); Westlake Middle (314 students, 87% FRL); Oakland High (1,531 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 68% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 2.5% in Oakland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 55% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KP3BA30F4D256F
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29