1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
468 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 239 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$787/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$165
Net cashflow
$117/mo
Annual
$1,399/yr
Cap rate
11.57%
Cash-on-cash
18.84%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($787 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#451 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Elysian Fields ISD (rural): math 52% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #136 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.