3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,895 sqft ·
Built 1907
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,564/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$411
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$538
Net cashflow
$-221/mo
Annual
$-2,655/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.71%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-221 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $311k (11.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (26.7% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $256k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in CT, #1,374 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
Bridgeport School District (urban): math 9% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #151 of 153 in CT (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $38k; list at $350k implies a 821% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,564/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 910% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KQK93XERGPGXS2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29