2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2016
· Manufactured
· Active
· 260 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,281/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$355/mo
Annual
$4,263/yr
Cap rate
10.78%
Cash-on-cash
16.03%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Northern Burlington County Regional School District (rural): math 27% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #198 of 472 in NJ (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clarence B. Lamb Elementary School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #661 of 1,303 statewide, top 54%, 294 students, 32% FRL); Northern Burlington County Regional Middle School (math 27% / reading 56%, grade F, #182 of 431 statewide, top 43%, 703 students, 13% FRL); Northern Burlington County Regional High School (math 27% / reading 58%, grade F, #166 of 399 statewide, top 42%, 1,427 students, 13% FRL).
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 2.3% in North Hanover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KR164H94M42SWR
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29