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511 Wrightstown Sykesville Rd #116
A Composite 85.4
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

511 Wrightstown Sykesville Rd #116 · Wrightstown, NJ 08562
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 117 Days on market
Built 2016 960 sqft lot Est $171k · 30% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained 2016 Skyline mobile home located in an peaceful community in Wrightstown. This 2-bedroom, 2 full bathroom home offers a comfortable open-concept layout with a spacious living area flowing into the kitchen and dining space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, full appliance package, and great natural light. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom, while the second bedroom and full hall bath provide flexibility for guests, home office, or additional living space. Built in 2016 and very well kept, this home offers modern systems and low-maintenance living. Conveniently located near major roadways, shopping, and dining. Affordable living in a great

Key facts

  • Built 2016
  • Listed 117 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association: Spartan Village

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home, model: Skyline; Single-story (1, layout implied by living area and model)
  • Construction: Living area approximately 960; Model name: Skyline
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Oil above-ground heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No fireplaces; No basement; Living room; Kitchen; Two bathrooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#503 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Northern Burlington County Regional School District (rural): math 27% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #198 of 472 in NJ (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $108,290 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.15%
Cash-on-cash
20.90%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,880
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
511 Wrightstown Sykesville Rd Unit 71 0.03mi 2/2.0 980 (+2%) 10mo $97,500 $99 86
16 Mcguire St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 23mo $325,000 $339 62
245 Platt Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (+8%) 20mo $185,000 $178 48
511 Wrightstown Sykesville Rd #158 0.36mi 2/1.0 850 (-12%) 20mo $89,000 $105 44
10 Francis St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+15%) 14mo $139,900 $127 42
45 W Main St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+15%) 2mo $319,000 $289 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.3%
Equity multiple
3.43×
Total profit
$81,017
Equity at exit
$85,093
10-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
7.23×
Total profit
$207,689
Equity at exit
$164,078

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08562

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,776 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$580

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
124 E Main St Unit 5 Wrightstown, NJ 2.0 1.0 650 $1,800 $2.77 1d 1 0.36mi
1 Martha Ave Wrightstown, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $2,250 $2.81 1d 1 0.41mi
5 E Main St Wrightstown, NJ 1.0 1.0 650 $1,075 $1.65 2d 1 0.47mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 101 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 100 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 99 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    price $119,000
  17. 2026-02-21
    listed $125,000 Active
  18. 2026-02-17
    historical $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,308
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,705
− Management
−$1,705
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$5,391
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,294
After-tax cash flow
$5,671/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern Burlington County Regional School District
NCES district ID
3411700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$82,110
Composite
39.1/100
National rank
#4042
State rank
#198 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Wrightstown

Score
58/100
State rank
#503
US rank
#21127

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,301

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.34%
Current HPI
306.1085
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $119,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $125,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Coming Soon $125,000 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…