4812 Autumn Ln

Lydia, LA 70544

$140,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Built 2003 · SingleFamily · Active · 12 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,800/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$734
• Tax + insurance: −$224
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$588
• Net cashflow: $1,254/mo
• Annual: $15,050/yr
• Cap rate: 18.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.23%
• DSCR: 2.88
• 1% rule: 2.00%
• Cash to close: $39,200

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#219 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Iberia Parish (other): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 98 in LA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Caneview Elementary School (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #216 of 646 statewide, top 33%, 537 students, 71% FRL); Iberia Middle School (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #114 of 218 statewide, top 53%, 498 students, 77% FRL); New Iberia Senior High School (math 35% / reading 52%, grade F, #64 of 265 statewide, top 24%, 1,449 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Iberia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Iberia County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• Current owner paid $53k; list at $140k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.