4812 Autumn Ln · Lydia, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained home with numerous updates and improvements! This charming older home features a new roof and siding with 3/4' insulation installed in 2015, along with solar screens for added energy efficiency. Additional updates completed in 2020 include fresh interior paint, updated flooring, a new A/C unit, and a new water heater. Situated on a spacious country lot, the property also includes a storage shed, offering plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or additional storage. A great opportunity to enjoy country living with many major improvements already completed.
Key facts
- New siding
- New a/c unit
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking
- Utilities: Septic tank; Electric service: CLECO
- Home design: Manufactured home
- Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Vinyl siding with other construction materials; Shed(s); No fencing; Parish road and unimproved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Flooring: Vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crown molding; Kitchen island; Formica counters; Window treatments; Storm windows; 1 fireplace (other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#219 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Iberia Parish (other): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 98 in LA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Caneview Elementary School (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #216 of 646 statewide, top 33%, 537 students, 71% FRL); Iberia Middle School (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #114 of 218 statewide, top 53%, 498 students, 77% FRL); New Iberia Senior High School (math 35% / reading 52%, grade F, #64 of 265 statewide, top 24%, 1,449 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Iberia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iberia County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $140k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.23%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $57,231
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $152,842
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70544
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $481/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $1,254
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,333 | -5% $1,294 | +0% $1,254 | +5% $1,215 | +10% $1,175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,033 | -5% $1,144 | +0% $1,254 | +5% $1,365 | +10% $1,475 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,325 | -0.5pp $1,290 | base $1,254 | +0.5pp $1,218 | +1.0pp $1,181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4017 Coco Miquel Rd New Iberia, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1987 | $2,800 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 588-char remark
-
2026-06-10$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $481 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $770 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$289/yr (+$24/mo · 60.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone A · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$481
- − Insurance
- −$2,202
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,688
- − Management
- −$2,688
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $13,626
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,270
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iberia Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200720
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,289
- Composite
- 31.74/100
- National rank
- #5904
- State rank
- #27 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lydia
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #219
- US rank
- #16892
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,407
Population outlook (Iberia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,632 people
- By 2030
- 74,368 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 73,223 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 71,728 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 69,028 · -7.5%
- By 2100
- 65,018 · -12.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Two or more races 6% Native American 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Iberia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.4% · R 66.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.0pp · 2024: -34.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.1 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.88%
- Current HPI
- 110.2806
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1066.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $140,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $52,773 Public Records
- 2003-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $481 · +15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…