CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4812 Autumn Ln
B- Composite 68.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

4812 Autumn Ln · Lydia, LA 70544
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 9 Days on market
Built 2003 0.49 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained home with numerous updates and improvements! This charming older home features a new roof and siding with 3/4' insulation installed in 2015, along with solar screens for added energy efficiency. Additional updates completed in 2020 include fresh interior paint, updated flooring, a new A/C unit, and a new water heater. Situated on a spacious country lot, the property also includes a storage shed, offering plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or additional storage. A great opportunity to enjoy country living with many major improvements already completed.

Key facts

  • New siding
  • New a/c unit
  • New water heater

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW SIDINGSOLAR SCREENSUPDATED FLOORINGNEW A/C UNITNEW WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Electric service: CLECO
  • Home design: Manufactured home
  • Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Vinyl siding with other construction materials; Shed(s); No fencing; Parish road and unimproved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Vinyl plank flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Crown molding; Kitchen island; Formica counters; Window treatments; Storm windows; 1 fireplace (other)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#219 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Iberia Parish (other): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 98 in LA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Caneview Elementary School (math 36% / reading 46%, grade F, #216 of 646 statewide, top 33%, 537 students, 71% FRL); Iberia Middle School (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #114 of 218 statewide, top 53%, 498 students, 77% FRL); New Iberia Senior High School (math 35% / reading 52%, grade F, #64 of 265 statewide, top 24%, 1,449 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Iberia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iberia County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $140k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
18.12%
Cash-on-cash
42.23%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$57,231
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$152,842
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70544

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $481/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$588
Net cashflow
$1,254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,212
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,333 -5% $1,294 +0% $1,254 +5% $1,215 +10% $1,175
Rent -10% $1,033 -5% $1,144 +0% $1,254 +5% $1,365 +10% $1,475
Rate -1.0pp $1,325 -0.5pp $1,290 base $1,254 +0.5pp $1,218 +1.0pp $1,181

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4017 Coco Miquel Rd New Iberia, LA 4.0 3.0 1987 $2,800 $1.41 22d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 588-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    listed $140,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$481 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$770 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$289/yr (+$24/mo · 60.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone A · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$481
− Insurance
−$2,202
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,688
− Management
−$2,688
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$13,626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,270
After-tax cash flow
$11,780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Iberia Parish
NCES district ID
2200720
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -35.00%
Median HH income
$43,289
Composite
31.74/100
National rank
#5904
State rank
#27 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lydia

Score
62/100
State rank
#219
US rank
#16892

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,407

Population outlook (Iberia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
74,632 people
By 2030
74,368 · -0.4%
By 2040
73,223 · -1.9%
By 2050
71,728 · -3.9%
By 2075
69,028 · -7.5%
By 2100
65,018 · -12.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 35% Two or more races 6% Native American 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Iberia

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.4% · R 66.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.0pp · 2024: -34.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.1 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+23.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.88%
Current HPI
110.2806
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1066.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $140,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2003-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $52,773 Public Records
  • 2003-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $481 · +15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…