3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Manufactured
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,160/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-783/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.00%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-783/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (17.1% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $116k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#878 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $140k implies a 460% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 1.7% in Welaka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29