5 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,137 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$350
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$882
Net cashflow
$1,867/mo
Annual
$22,409/yr
Cap rate
16.97%
Cash-on-cash
38.13%
DSCR
2.70
1% rule
2.00%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/5.0-bath multifamily listed at $210k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $210k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#182 in NY, #2,828 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Ticonderoga Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #459 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ticonderoga Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 360 students, 65% FRL); Ticonderoga Junior-Senior High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,032 of 1,100 statewide, top 95%, 359 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 41% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 20% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 4.0% in Ticonderoga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,200/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 15% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: roof
— Signs of aging or damage
Major: flooring
— Visible wear and tear
Major: interior walls/paint
— Painted walls appear old and dull
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible photos of systems
CashFlowRE · CFR-KS18CZ8FJN8634
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29